Father Hand’s Letter from America – September 21st 2001
Welcome to the first of a regular (or at least occasional) look at American life through the eyes of Sally’s dad. As regular readers of the Diario will know, I live in Las Vegas, Nevada with Fran, my delightful Asian girlfriend, and her two sub-teenage boys. Thanks to the boys, I’m learning more than I really wanted to know about the American school system and counting my blessings that my kids grew up in England.
But enough about me. There’s only been one thing in the news this week, and that’s the continuing fallout from the WTC attack. My own morning paper, the
Las Vegas Review-Journal, is not known for its investigative reporting or unbiased commentary, but I try to scan the editorial and letters page every day to see what other people are thinking. It changes from day to day, perhaps depending on which editor writes the leader and chooses the letters. For example, Wednesday’s editorial was a bloodthirsty call for the annihilation of Islamic fundamentalists and Yasser Arafat, with letters against gun control and immigration and one of the kind that goes "Well it didn’t take long for the Bush-hating, blame-America blah blah commie liberal blah blah Clinton blah blah…". The following day it was a completely different tone, with an editorial criticizing the odious fundamentalist Jerry Falwell for his remarks on national television (the Philly said it better), and a thoughtful lead letter headed "Avoid Violence, Listen to Hurt Around the World". Well, maybe there’s hope.Actually, Falwell really put his foot in it, seriously embarrassing arch-conservative Pat Robertson in the process. Robertson stood there nodding and agreeing, and afterwards could only claim lamely that he "didn’t understand" what Falwell was talking about. Thinking people realized a long time ago that if Robertson and his crowd ever took control of the US Government, they could really show the Ayatollahs how it’s done. But it took asinine remarks like this, at a time like this, for ordinary people to notice that our fundamentalists are just as bigoted as theirs – I read an outrageous comment somewhere that the only difference was Falwell’s followers weren’t smart enough to learn to fly. I marvel at the wisdom of British policy makers for keeping religion and politics off television. Long may it remain so.
Parenthetical: While looking for Falwell web-presence, I came across some truly wonderful sites. First visit
Chick Publications and explore the site thoroughly for background on US fundamentalist bigots, then pay a visit to Landover Baptist Church. Actually, Landover made me somewhat uncomfortable. I think it’s a parody, but the beliefs/general rules section reminded me a bit too much of a church I used to go to in England. Hi Tony, if you’re reading this (waves hand).Las Vegas is quiet this week. Hotel occupancy is down 30%, room rates down 55% and all the shows are half price. Most of the casinos have laid people off or put them on short time. I’m sure things will pick up later, but right now is a good time to visit. Travel was impossible last week, with tens of thousands of people trapped here and desperate to get home – at one time, the queue stretched twice around the Greyhound bus station. This week things are a little easier, though the new airport security regulations are burdensome. It used to be if you turned up for an 11 o’clock flight at 10.45 you considered that a bit too early, but not any more. One of the new FAA regulations prevents any car parking within a thousand feet of the terminal, which is a bit of a problem when the short-term car park is the terminal roof.
Another problem is you can’t go to the gate without a ticket (I always book on the internet and travel ticketless). I’m not sure how this is supposed to make travel safer, since I’m sure last week’s hijackers had tickets. There’s a new opinion of what constitutes a weapon, with security personnel confiscating dangerous sewing needles and deadly nail clippers. Rumour has it that the next bunch of terrorists will strangle a stewardess with a necktie, thus changing American business attire forever. Basically, if you want to make your flight, turn up two hours in advance, buy a ticket at the desk, have no metal on your person and no carry-on at all. This last is a big nuisance because on a lot of short-haul flights, which is mostly what I make, I can spend more time waiting for my bags at LV’s notoriously slow baggage claim than the plane actually spent in the air.
I think the main reason behind the security frenzy is to appear to be doing something, anything, to look busy and deflect criticism. The airport security need not worry. Critical eyes this week are focussed on our expensive security services, wondering if perhaps they could have better spent our tax money watching out for danger instead of tracking missionary planes for the Peruvian air force. Even the conservative LVRJ has been questioning the rationality of the War on Drugs lately, though they didn’t have much to say earlier this year when a Las Vegas court gave
twenty one year old Jessica Williams 48 years for having negligible traces of marijuana in her blood after a road accident.As I watch the stock market this week, I get a feeling like they must have had on the Titanic in that quiet period after she struck, when nothing much seemed to be happening. We’re about to find out just how "unsinkable" the stock market really is. I heard today one investment house was hit with a TWO BILLION DOLLAR margin call, as a result of which they had to dump 175 million Disney shares - lucky for them, Disney had the cash reserves to buy their own shares and prevent a slide. Now why in heck was anyone allowed to run a margin like that? Let me explain the implications of a "margin call".
Suppose I own a bunch of shares, worth (say) $10 million. Actually I borrowed $5 million to buy them in the first place, and everyone thinks I’m a very smart investor for making so much money on the deal. But $5 million doesn’t go far these days. I decide to buy some more shares, say another $5 million worth, but I haven’t got any money left. No problem! Because I’m a very smart investor, my broker will lend me the money, secured on my first $10 million. The problem comes when the market slides, and now my holdings are only worth $9 million, but I still owe my broker ten. Uh-oh, says my broker, we need you to put up $1 million in cash to cover the difference – that’s a margin call.
Where am I going to get the cash? Ah, I’ll sell some shares! But if I sell too quickly, then the value of my remaining shares drops to less than what I owe now. My broker wants more money to cover it. If I sell more shares, the price drops further and I still can’t cover the margin. If I try to sit tight and wait for things to recover, my broker sells them for me to cover his own ass. If this process isn’t stopped, in the end I lose everything I own and I still can’t cover the debt. Maybe my broker goes bankrupt. I don’t care because I already jumped out of a tall building.
Apparently the way to avoid a market crash is simply not to believe in it. Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan says
we all need to spend more money, and then we’ll be ok. I have a couple of questions for Mr Greenspan, when he’s got a moment to spare. First, when he was raising interest rates on a daily basis eighteen months ago, my credit card interest went up exactly in step. Now he’s reducing rates even faster, but I haven’t heard from my lenders in a long while. Since the supposed objective was to put money in consumer pockets, not banks, shouldn’t he be threatening them with a big stick? And secondly, when my house increases in value and I borrow against the equity, he says that’s "inflation", which is a Bad Thing and must be stopped. Can he explain to me why exactly the same process, when it happens in the stock market, is called "wealth creation"?There is one ray of light at the end of the tunnel.
War can be good for business.All for now,
Father Hand